Entries by Neland Nobel

Joyful Confiscation And The Consequences

Estimated Reading Time: 7 minutes

Kamala Harris is trying to create an image through advertising that she is the “joyful” or “optimistic” candidate.  Her team feels that she can be made likable, even if the public does not know her position on matters of public policy. However, she has made one policy very clear: She is for raising taxes. Below is a quick summary of her proposals and the probable consequences. She joyfully wants to raise the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28%. Most economists believe that corporations will pass on the increased costs to customers. Taxes are a cost of doing business, like other costs. However, if stiff competition does not allow the price increase, then corporate profits and earnings will fall, putting downward pressure on stock prices.  The money must come from somewhere, out of profits, research and development, or employee compensation.

Am I Racist Movie: A Legendary Mockumentary

Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

Podcaster Matt Walsh produced “What Is A Woman” in June 2022. In many ways, he showed that the trans movement was illogical, unscientific, and cunningly profitable for consultants and advocates. As such, the movie changed the discussion. Many women began to realize that 4th wave feminism, which argues that there are no differences in the […]

The Immigration Debate

Estimated Reading Time: 8 minutes

We agree that the Left has framed the argument as a moral question. However, the morality has its basis in Marxist assumptions,  which posit that all wealth should be shared and that those who have it did not earn it but got it through exploitation.  The latter cultural Marxism variation is that all difference in wealth and status is a result of “white privilege” and racial discrimination.  The current immigration policy could be seen as an international DEI “social justice” variant. That is why there is no longer an attempt to bring in highly educated Europeans who are most compatible with the existing American population and whose education is most helpful to the economy. Instead, the Left actually imports millions of uneducated and difficult-to-assimilate people because they are impoverished and supposedly owed our standard of living.  Anyone who opposes this has to be a racist. Let’s first make clear that to question current Democrat immigration policies is not racist or xenophobic.  That is a baseless and vicious charge intended to end the conversation, not to have one. Mass immigration and open borders are on the ballot this year.  How are you going to vote on the matter?

Thinking About Abortion and Arizona Elections

Estimated Reading Time: 8 minutes

There seems to be no issue that stirs up people as the issue of abortion. It likely is because the thinking and narrative around the subject have been so distorted over the past 40 years or so. It would appear that the issue will be critical in multiple elections this cycle, including the state of Arizona. If that is so, we need to be clear-headed about what is going on. In part, the controversy is because abortion is both a moral and a political issue. One can take a moral point of view, and also a political point of view that may differ or may coincide. Is that hypocrisy or just because some things are in the moral realm and some in the political realm?  There has always been tension between complying with the civil government and Biblical law as in Mark 12:17. “Render unto  Ceasar…” The fundamental purpose of government is to protect life and property, and clearly, a life is not only affected, but terminated in the abortion decision. So, the state and the law do have a role to play, do they not?

An Expected FED Cut and Gold’s Stealth Bull Market

Estimated Reading Time: 7 minutes

The Federal Reserve delivered the expected cut in interest rates of 1/2% on Wednesday. After the announcement, markets were stable for the most part and then rose sharply on Friday. Wall Street wanted the cuts, and they were delivered. some underlying numbers suggest inflation is still showing a strong pulse, and the beast is not yet dead. This is particularly true in areas like services rather than goods. Also, recent inflation numbers have been helped by soft energy prices and deflationary forces coming from China. That may seem like a good thing, but if prices fall because of a drop in demand in China and elsewhere, they fall for the wrong reasons.  Deflationary forces are more difficult for the Fed to battle than inflationary forces. Cutting interest rates before inflation has been tamed suggests the FED is now more concerned about weakness in the labor market and the possibility of a recession. Investors might interpret this as the FED being weak on inflation because continued money printing is necessary to fund the federal government’s excessive spending. Their timing could also be interpreted as political. With the election so close, why not delay for just 40-odd days until after the election to avoid the appearance of the Fed intervening in the election process? Or have they been compromised along with almost every other Federal agency? The Fed is supposed to be non-political, but the cut came just after a group of Democratic senators called on the Fed to lower rates.

The Debate Over The Debate

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

We shared our own quick take on the Trump-Harris debate. In summary, we suggested that Trump did not give his best showing in that he did not unmask Harris sufficiently as the radical she is, seemed angry and defensive, that she was polished (coached by Hollywood or not), and on the offensive, which put Trump […]

Flip Flopping, “My Values Have Not Changed”, and Deceit

Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes

One of the more disturbing parts of the recent Presidential debate was when one of the moderators asked Kamala Harris about her flip-flopping on key issues like guns and fracking. Kudos to the moderator who raised the question, but shame on them for letting her avoid providing an answer. She prevaricated for more than two […]

About the Debate: A Lost Opportunity

Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes

The objective of the debate for Harris was to strengthen her base and protect herself from the failed record of the Biden/Harris years. Both candidates needed to convince the marginal fence-sitters and undecided. Trump missed some key opportunities to expose her and draw the undecided heavily toward him. Harris exceeded the low expectations the media and her side had set for her. 

The Economy: There Is More Than A Hint Of Yellow In The Leaves

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

One problem with writing an economic and market commentary is that it is a lot like writing a movie review after seeing only the first few scenes. There is more of the story to come, with complex twists and turns in the plot, but the reviewer must say something even though the ending is unknown. […]

Talk to Young Ladies

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

A recent poll conducted by McLaughlin and Associates for the Media Research Center showed that most Democrats and Independents did not know the policy positions taken by Kamala Harris.  These folks will be voting, canceling out the votes of those who are informed. Is this a case of benign detachment or willful ignorance?  It may […]

Reagan: The Movie

Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes

We normally don’t write movie reviews, partly because we rarely go to the movies.  There has not been much to see that would entice the wife and me to the theatre. But we recently saw the movie Reagan and enjoyed it. At first, the motivation was to support any movie with conservative values since they […]

The Climate Scare and Complete Policy Collapse

Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes

We are in the camp that argues climate is always changing, and that attempts to change the environment by government edict will fail, and that those bad policies will have major negative consequences elsewhere. The science is not settled and it is not clear that C02 emissions are causing climate change.  Many independent variables, including […]

The Importance Of The Zuckerberg Letter

Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

In a letter to Congress, Mark Zuckerberg, Chairman of Meta (Facebook) admitted that the Biden-Harris Administration had pressured him and the company into suppressing free speech, committing election interference, and violating the First Amendment rights of Americans. The letter indicates that Facebook systematically suppressed speech about issues surrounding COVID-19, the COVID-19 lockdown, and the Hunter Biden laptop.

Let’s Revise Those Revisions

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

Investors and the Federal Reserve are both “data dependent.” That is to say, data often drives decisions. Data can be created by both private and public sources. Many important indicators are produced by the government and then consumed by policymakers in the government. But the rest of us are dependent as well. In our most recent piece, we suggested “a chill in the air”, making reference to the first sign of autumn or in this case, growing signs of recession.
This is somewhat remarkable given the amount of fiscal and monetary stimulus over the past few years. It makes you wonder what things would look like if we did have a hard recession if record debt excess could be run up during prosperity.

The Nightmare Is Confirmed

Estimated Reading Time: 7 minutes

A conference of professional hackers found all kinds of vulnerabilities in this year and in previous years regarding the election systems adopted by various states in just a few days of effort. They argue election authorities should have been doing a lot of preemptive things, but have not been doing so. These hackers have no vested interests but the bureaucrats overseeing elections and manufactures do have vested interests. These states and the press have assured us that their systems were secure and that anyone who thinks otherwise is an election-denying insurrectionist.

Did Trump Just Signal A Recession Call?

Estimated Reading Time: 7 minutes

The election of the most left-wing ticket in our history could bring on a wave of new taxes and regulations, just the thing required to further destabilize a foundering economy choking on debt. The risk of war is much higher than normal, and the chance of policy error by central banks is much higher than normal. In terms of the international economy, neither Japan nor China are in great shape, and neither is Europe. Yes, the economic data is noisy and often contradictory. But like the coming of autumn, an economic chill is in the air.  Risks are substantial and need to be considered. Trump may be making the statements for political gain, but that does not mean in the end he will be wrong.

The Problem With Cat Ladies Is Not the Cats- Part I

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

Republican Vice-Presidential candidate J.D. Vance has caught a lot of flak for his remark about childless cat ladies. He seems to have touched a nerve. The issue is not that they have cats, it is that a growing proportion of women have chosen not to have families. By extension, an increasing number of men agree […]

The Problem With Cat Ladies Is Not the Cats-Part ll

Estimated Reading Time: 9 minutes

Continuation from Part I: Attitudes toward abortion of course play a role. A child, by definition, will not be born if aborted. Again, using states as our laboratory, what five states have the most liberal policies regarding abortion versus those with the most restrictions? States with the Most Liberal Abortion Policies California: California has strong […]

Democracy Dies In Broad Daylight

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

Democracy is on the ballot this year we are told. We recently talked with an acquaintance who said she was voting this November for Biden to “save democracy.” We know there are “low information” voters out there but we did not know that “no information” voters were quite so prevalent. It is hard to know […]

Congressman Schweikert Lays Out The Budget Crisis

Estimated Reading Time: < 1 minute

We believe that understanding the budget crisis is so important that we would not simply present another video where it competes with many others. This will take some time but voters need to know how much the finances of the country and its major entitlement programs have deteriorated. So, please take the time to view […]

Campaignus Interruptus – Pulling Out of the Campaign Too Early?

Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes

President Joe Biden just announced he will not be running for President, but likely will stay on as President until the new President takes office. It should be made clear that removing Biden as a candidate and removing him from office, are two different things. Execute the first and we are still left with a non-functioning chief executive for months. While Biden undoubtedly is concerned about his party’s political future, we remain concerned about having an impaired commander-in-chief remain in office. With little sense and now no political power, this would be an ideal time for a foreign adversary to make a move, catching the US in an awkward and confused state.

Sloping Roofs And Slippery Slopes

Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes

The head of the US Secret Service says the reason they did not secure the roof of a building 150 yards from Donald Trump is because it had a sloped roof that presented a danger to members of the service. Instead, they put sniper teams inside the building upon which the assassin would position himself. Inside the building, police peered out of windows while the assassin operated just above them. Incredible!

Do We Have A Deal On Political Violence?

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

Shortly after the shooting of former President Trump, have you heard of the riots developing almost spontaneously across many American cities? Even though the candidate for President was hit, but not killed, anger as a reaction to the attempt set off multiple riots and the looting of stores. Whole blocks of stores were stripped of luxury goods and electronics as deplorables vented their anger.  MAGA supporters saw their candidate framed by police and intelligence agencies, falsely impeached, pilloried in the media, sued, and prosecuted. Significantly, it was the attempted killing of the former President and likely next President that set off the masses. Years of “marginalization” and discrimination against white heterosexual males just could not be contained any longer.

Let Them Dig Their Hole

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

When your opponent is digging themselves a hole, it is wise to let them continue. This is not a substitute for having a good offense. One cannot rely on the tendency of self-destruction alone.  So Republicans should continue to hone their message, improve their ground game, and fight for election integrity.  Getting cocky at this […]

The Prickly Pear Primary Voting Recommendations

Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes

Choosing a candidate in a primary election is often not an easy task. Some candidates have track records, while others are new to the game. Some have expressed strong opinions, others are quiet and their views are not widely known. Republican primaries are also difficult because most of the candidates are Conservative just as most Democrats […]

The Anything-to-Get-Trump Syndrome Has Consequences

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

It is not surprising that heated Democrat rhetoric is due for some scrutiny. It is revealing that shortly after the shooting, one of the first acts of President Biden was to pull Democrat ads from the media, largely because they were highly inflammatory. Why was that felt necessary? Because the public relations look bad given the provocative nature of those ads. Conservatives feel that since Democrats have violated every legal and ethical tradition, and keep talking about “any means necessary”, that violence logically follows from that assumption.

Republican Platform 2024

Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes

It seems that few people really read political platforms. The last one that guided both strategy and policy was the Newt Gingrich-initiated Contract With America in 1994. Well, the GOP just released their new platform and it makes 20 common sense, simple, and clear statements of intention. CNN responded by ridiculing the simplicity, saying it […]

Weekend Read: Investments Soar In The First Half

Estimated Reading Time: 4 minutes

It looks like major components of the “everything bubble” were back in action during the first half of 2024.  Ample liquidity and strong investor sentiment triumphed again over caution about narrowing participation and over-valuation. Earnings look to come in pretty decent and the economy, while showing some soft patches, continued to grow. The bellwether S&P […]

The Dam is Breaking

Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

In the immediate aftermath of the catastrophic debate appearance, the Biden forces have rallied. They sent their man forward to events tanned and prompted electronically, but these appearances have not quelled the worries of Democrats both in the party and in the press. Now that his advancing mental deficiencies have been noticed, it seems even skeptics are now looking for them in his appearances. He has not disappointed. That is one of the problem – once the dementia genie is out of the bottle, even the slightest misstep will be attributed to the condition. Even during White House press events, the once carefully crafted and duplicitous statements of Biden’s energy and stamina are seen for what they are by all watching – lies and deliberate deceptions.

Schweikert Unpacks the Republican Response to the Economic Report of the President

Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes

U.S. Representative David Schweikert (AZ-01) delivered a speech on the House Floor this week that expanded on the newly-released Republican Response to the 2024 Economic Report of the President. The report found alarming, but not surprising statistics that display the potentially devastating effects on the U.S. economy. Aspects of the President’s budget that our Joint […]

It Was More Than A Bad Night

Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

It seemed just yesterday that Progressives were having a fit over the possibility of having “a convicted felon in the White House”. Now comes word that Hunter Biden is sitting in on key White House meetings.  So, we do have a felon in the Oval Office. We can only imagine the wisdom he is departing.  […]

Aftershocks From the Debate

Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

Whenever there is an earthquake, there usually are a series of aftershocks. Sometimes they do more damage than the initial tremor. The question now is what will the aftershocks be after Biden’s catastrophic debate performance?
Here are a few that come to mind:
This will surely divide the Democrat party between those who are invested in Biden and those who now see him as a weak candidate. It will divide his media accomplices along the same lines. The “secret” that Democrats and the media have been hiding is now out. Heretofore, they accused Republicans and others of “lying” and doctoring videos. The public is not stupid and many people who are not policy wonks viewed the debate and saw with their own eyes the striking cognitive decline of the President.

Trump Kept Cool While Biden Drooled

Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes

Reactions to the debate are coming in from varied sources but we think the feeling of many is summarized by the headline on the now left-leaning Drudge Report.   Source: YouTube screenshot of Drudgereport.com   Financial markets and betting markets also reacted by sharply dropping the odds that Biden would either be the candidate or […]

WEEKEND READ: Born on the Fourth of July

Estimated Reading Time: 7 minutes

The Declaration of Independence was signed on July 4, 1776. Thomas Jefferson and the committee tasked with drafting the Declaration of Independence worked on it the previous 17 days. The Continental Congress had appointed the Committee of Five—comprising Jefferson, John Adams, Benjamin Franklin, Roger Sherman, and Robert R. Livingston on June 11, 1776. Jefferson completed […]

Legal Retribution: The Plan to Address Progressive Overreach

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

Retribution is a subject being discussed among Conservatives right now.  There is a feeling, perhaps premature, that Donald Trump will likely win in the coming election and that Republicans will generally control at least one house of Congress.  There is also a growing consensus that a strong counterattack to Democrat lawfare is the only way to get them to stop. What is meant by retribution in this context?  Retribution is punishment inflicted on someone as vengeance for wrong or criminal acts. Note the definition says criminal acts, not political views. This means rigorously holding accountable those who broke the law and who are not being prosecuted by the current DOJ and Administration. True, some alteration of the statute of limitations might be necessary because the DOJ has deliberately run out the clock on selective cases. It means being relentless in exposing, prosecuting, and firing those who have abused their office or failed under their watch to enforce the law as written.

Mugging Lady Liberty And Dividing America. Who’s At Fault?

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

Over the past few years, there has been extensive commentary about “polarization.” This has come to mean the dividing up of America into more and more extreme views on political, social, and cultural matters. The divide seems to be getting wider and wider. Not only does this make political compromise much harder, but it is […]

Seizing Assets and Sunsetting Deals: Long-Term Implications

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

While it has not gotten much press, the whiz kids in the Biden Administration seem to have quietly blown up the international monetary system, the petrodollar, and the privileges attached thereto. Over time, it means less energy security, a weaker dollar (which will cause the cost of all imports to go up), and higher U.S. interest rates than would otherwise be the case. This will cost all of us dearly in the years to come.

Those Pesky Jobs Numbers

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

“The Biden Administration has basically turned the US labor market into a Temp Agency for foreign workers. American workers are not getting jobs… They’re losing them.” E.J. Antoni, Ph.D, Heritage Foundation On Friday, June 7, the much-awaited jobs numbers were released and as usual, they can roil the markets for a few days.  Also, select […]

European Elections and Cultural Marxism

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

Over the weekend more than 400 million people in the EU were voting on parliamentary elections. Americans usually could care less about European politics. The results so far are being called an “earthquake.” The media, both European and US, lump all European conservatives as “far-right.” Most headlines are about the gains made by the “far-right.” Today, what is “far-right” might include thinking a nation should have borders, a man can’t have babies, that COVID-19 vaccines don’t work, and that Hamas is not something you have with Naan bread.

MAGA: The Revolt Against the Elites

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

The tension between America’s governing elites and the people has likely never been wider, although the quotes above suggest it did not begin with MAGA. However, the rift was not as huge as today, largely because our elites have drifted far to the extreme left and government power is now centered in an unelected bureaucracy which they dominate. At one time, not that long ago, Progressives and Liberals prided themselves on associating themselves with the common man: industrial workers, farmers, miners, ranchers, and construction workers.  This was before they decided they were all deplorables defiling the environment.

Fauci’s Agency Raked In $690 Million From Big Pharma In The Wake Of Pandemic Lockdowns

Estimated Reading Time: 2 minutes

Federal agencies under Dr. Anthony Fauci’s leadership received hundreds of millions in pharmaceutical royalties over the coronavirus pandemic. According to an investigation by the nonprofit government watchdog Open the Books, pharmaceutical and healthcare companies paid more than $710 million to the National Institutes of Health (NIH). The National Institute of Allergies and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), which […]

Will All Real Republicans Please Speak Up?

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

It is a fair question to ask how we got to a condition in this country where one party is using law enforcement, the courts, and intelligence agencies to attack, and in some cases imprison, its political opponents. The term now used to describe this  is “lawfare.”  It means the use of law and the court system to both attack and destroy your political opposition. What cannot be realized at the ballot box can now be achieved through the manipulation of the law. Little thought seems to have gone into the long-term implications for the respect for law as an institution and what damage this does to the democratic process. Or more pessimistically, what they are doing is fully understood and the aim is to create a one-party state.

Are We Back To The Everything Bubble?

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

The term everything bubble was coined when seemingly all investments started to rise in unison, apparently in response to massive liquidity injected into the economy by both the Federal Reserve (monetary policy) and massive Federal deficit spending (fiscal policy). Many also believed that the force pushing all asset prices up at the same time was the era of zero interest rates. While the inflation of asset prices has continued, it seemed to take some time before the price level of everyday purchases started to rise sharply. Some have suggested this had to do with macro factors such as globalization and demographics. Whatever it was, there was a surprising delay but in the past few years, consumer price inflation has hit with full force.

Joe “Boss Tweed” Biden

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

Boss Tweed cut a swath of corruption across American politics in the 19th Century so egregious it sparked a major reform movement. Still synonymous with political corruption is the term “Tammany Hall,” the epicenter of late 19th-century New York City politics. Tweed built a political machine that made him very wealthy and entrenched the power […]

Are Terrorists Crossing The Open Border?

Estimated Reading Time: < 1 minute

Davos in the Desert is Hosting a Program Called The Iranian Threat on America’s Southern Border in Chandler on May 19 Dave Wanetick and Davos In The Desert are bringing another important program to the Phoenix Area. With the organized and well-funded effort to disrupt the university campus, are such groups using Biden’s Open Border […]

America’s Summer Of Discontent

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

This summer will likely be a crucible from which election results will emerge this fall.  By available polling data, it appears Americans are unhappy with the direction of the country and unhappy with the enfeebled, protected, coddled, and coached President Joe Biden.  The most recent polls show some shifts favorable to Donald Trump. The real […]

Weekend Read: Is Marriage A White Privilege ? Part II

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

In part I, we discussed that a traditional family of mother and father produces the best results overall for children. And since children are our future, better results for them translate into a better future for the country. It also means less income disparity and a better life for minority children. To be clear, we […]

WEEKEND READ: Is it White Privilege to be Married? (Part 1)

Estimated Reading Time: 6 minutes

We hear a lot today about “white privilege”, “white fragility“, “systemic racism”, and “white supremacy”. Some have gone so far as to claim math is racist.Not long ago the Smithsonian Institution made some claims about certain human traits that anyone can choose to have, but was presumed to be white and therefore bad. Some of those traits included the use of logic, being on time, politeness, and marriage. Not bad traits at all, we think.To ascribe characteristics to people on the basis solely of white skin color is truly racist because there can be vast differences among Caucasians. We should judge others by their behavior. So, we have the irony of those complaining about racism being the biggest racists of all.

Mild Correction In Stocks Amidst Growing Background Problems In Bidenonmics

Estimated Reading Time: 5 minutes

We have suggested since late December that equities would start having some difficulty as we were seeing disturbing signs in the credit markets, commercial real estate, and housing markets. The stock market, however, did not seem as worried as we were and went on to have a stellar quarter.  Corporate earnings remain decent and liquidity […]

The FED’s Dilemmas

Estimated Reading Time: 7 minutes

The Federal Reserve is an unelected board of bureaucratic experts that holds great sway over the US economy, the world economy, and the standard of living of the people of the United States. Because of the arcane nature of its work, its responsibilities are not something we would want under the sway of political operatives.  […]

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